Topical Issue - Advances in Metrology and Quality Engineering
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Table 2

Posterior summary statistics for the COVID-19 pandemic using model (25). Coverage: United Kingdom, France, Portugal and Germany regions, updated on 14 September 2020.

Region Dates (T − 1, T) cases jT cases jT−1 Empirical ℜT 90% Credibility
United Kingdom 22–23 Aug 2020 1022.4 992.3 327,643 1.195 1.198 1.203 1.215 0.130 (0.593, 1.784)
6–7 Sep 2020 1812.1 1630.3 352,451 1.483 1.483 1.486 1.493 0.074 (1.029, 1.923)
12–13 Sep 2020 3001.4 708.7 370,930 1.430 1.436 1.438 1.443 0.047 (1.078, 1.788)
France 22–23 Aug 2020 718.9 708.7 280,459 1.186 1.182 1.183 1.182 0.020 (0.951, 1.411)
6–7 Sep 2020 1294.3 1261.9 367,174 1.369 1.364 1.368 1.378 0.109 (0.813, 1.898)
12–13 Sep 2020 1809.6 1691.1 402,893 1.377 1.375 1.378 1.385 0.078 (0.910, 1.827)
Portugal 22–23 Aug 2020 210.1 204.0 55,597 1.219 1.220 1.223 1.229 0.065 (0.796, 1.634)
6–7 Sep 2020 355.7 356.4 60,507 1.111 1.108 1.109 1.113 0.038 (0.783, 1.426)
12–13 Sep 2020 481.0 479.4 63,983 1.127 1.129 1.130 1.132 0.028 (0.850, 1.403)
Germany 22–23 Aug 2020 1233.0 1223.9 234,494 1.138 1.133 1.138 1.147 0.110 (0.579, 1.671)
6–7 Sep 2020 1202.6 1173.4 253,626 1.201 1.198 1.203 1.213 0.113 (0.636, 1.743)
12–13 Sep 2020 1349.0 1354.7 261,737 1.079 1.091 1.096 1.105 0.100 (0.562, 1.606)